Thursday, February 25, 2010

Playoff odds as 2/25/10

Western Conference



ACTUAL PROJECTED ODDS (%)


TEAM W L W L BEST WORST PLAYOFFS DIV NO.1 FINALS CHAMP LOTTERY*


LA Lakers 42 13 60 22 69-13 49-33 100.0 99.6 87.5 33.5 18.5 0.0


Utah 34 19 54 28 62-20 43-39 99.6 46.7 6.0 22.0 11.4 7.5*


Denver 35 18 53 29 63-19 42-40 99.1 35.7 5.1 12.5 5.4 0.0


Oklahoma City 31 21 50 32 61-21 37-45 94.7 16.0 0.9 11.5 5.0 0.0*


Dallas 33 21 49 33 59-23 39-43 91.0 54.6 0.3 3.3 0.9 0.0*


Phoenix 32 23 49 33 58-24 39-43 90.9 0.4 0.1 5.3 1.8 0.0*


San Antonio 31 21 48 34 58-24 37-45 83.8 37.9 0.0 7.1 3.0 0.0


Portland 32 24 47 35 57-25 37-45 79.6 1.6 0.0 3.4 1.1 0.0






Houston 28 25 43 39 55-27 32-50 37.4 5.4 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.5


New Orleans 28 26 41 41 51-31 29-53 13.5 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.6


Memphis 27 26 40 42 52-30 30-52 10.4 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7


LA Clippers 21 33 30 52 41-41 21-61 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4


Sacramento 18 36 29 53 40-42 19-63 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9


Golden State 15 38 27 55 38-44 16-66 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2


Minnesota 13 42 19 63 31-51 13-69 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.3


Glossary


W: Average number of wins from 5,000 computer-simulated seasons, based on the Hollinger Power Rankings


L: Average number of losses from simulated seasons


BEST: Best record from simulated seasons


WORST: Worst record from simulated seasons


PLAYOFFS: Likelihood of making the playoffs


DIV: Likelihood of winning the division


NO.1: Likelihood of holding the top seed for the conference


FINALS: Likelihood of making the NBA Finals


CHAMP: Likelihood of winning the NBA title


LOTTERY: Likelihood of winning the lottery


* New Jersey owns Dallas's first-round pick.


Oklahoma City owns Phoenix's first-round pick.


Utah owns New York's first-round pick.